Izan Almansa Draft Analysis

NBA Projection: Fringe

1. Draft Age

• 20.0 years (41st percentile amongst 1st round drafted players between 2004-2024)

• Australian NBL league

2. Physical Tools

• Height without shoes: 6' 9.25''

• Wingspan: 7' 1.75''

• NBA Size: Wing or small C

3. Team Role

• Perth finished 3rd out of 10 in Australian league

  • Perth tied for 6th best DRtg in Australian league

• Strengths

  • decent 3P% for C

  • good ast/tov of 1.3

  • good oreb%

• Flaws

  • tied for 8th in min/g

  • 8th in pts/g

  • usg = 18.2%

  • very low FT%

  • low blk% for C

  • below average stl%

4. Nearest Neighbours

1. Star: Lamelo

2. Starters (NBA_Start% >= 50%): Sarr, Ferguson, Giddey

3. Rotation (VORP>=0):

4. Fringe (VORP<0): Klintman, Travers, Hampton, Rupert, Johnson, Dieng

5. Analysis

1. With Izan’s poor blk%, he likely won’t start as a C and would need to be a PF or small C off the bench. Izan’s very low FT% makes his 33% 3P% likely unsustainable in the NBA and unlikely to start as a PF. If he has a NBA role, it likely is as a backup small C.

2. Sarr was the 2nd pick last year and has the dimensions to be a PF or C. Izan doesn’t have many advantages over Sarr except for oreb%.

3. Klintman is a closer comparable as a small Wing with worse oreb%, but better stl% and blk%. Klintman has a significant shooting advantage on Izan (FT%) so is more suited to be a wing than Izan.

4. Izan seems more like an old-school PF than a modern wing with good oreb%, but poor 3P shooting and mediocre defensive production (stl%, blk%). He has a solid ast/tov ratio, but with his poor 3P shooting and rim protection, he would need a lineup with a stretch 5 around him to play significant rotation minutes. I don’t foresee a team trying to build a bench lineup around Izan’s strengths unless he was hyperefficient from 2P%, which he wasn’t in the ABL.

Predicted NBA Outcome: Fringe

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